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SportsExpires May 2, 2026

Madrid Open: Martin Damm vs Jakub Mensik

Probability

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-25.4pp

24h Vol

$133.0K

Liquidity

$364.6K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 23, 2026, 17:00Apr 25, 2026, 15:06
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 25pp over 24h

    Now 0¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 162h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    UMA status: proposed

    An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 161.9h

    LOW
  • 15:06Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 162h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Martin Damm and Jakub Mensik in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Martin Damm' if Martin Damm advances against Jakub Mensik. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Mensik' if Jakub Mensik advances against Martin Damm. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
May 2, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/currentNews consensus
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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