Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Etcheverry (+1.5)
Probability
51¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$285.78
Liquidity
$4.4K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Thin liquidity
Only $4.4k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 185.2h
Price movement
+1.5pp over the last 24h, now 51¢.
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 82¢0.0pp
Etcheverry vs. Fils: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 49¢0.0pp
Etcheverry vs. Fils: Match O/U 22.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 32¢0.0pp
Etcheverry vs. Fils: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 37¢0.0pp
Tomas Etcheverry vs. Arthur Fils: Total Sets O/U 2.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 26¢0.0pp
Madrid Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Arthur Fils
Sports · Vol $3.2K
- 32¢0.0pp
Set 1 Winner: Etcheverry vs Fils
Other · Vol $0.00
- 59¢0.0pp
Etcheverry vs. Fils: Match O/U 21.5
Other · Vol $79.47
- 51¢0.0pp
Etcheverry vs. Fils: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 100¢+15.4pp
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka
Sports · Vol $1.5M
- 1¢0.0pp
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $1.3M
- 1¢-40.4pp
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru
Sports · Vol $1.3M
- 50¢-4.0pp
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?
Sports · Vol $954.4K
- 0¢-0.1pp
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Sports · Vol $841.5K
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $753.6K
Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fils and Tomas Etcheverry in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 28, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Fils" if Arthur Fils wins by 2 or more sets than Tomas Etcheverry, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Etcheverry." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 5, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.