SportsExpires May 10, 2026
Creator

Mauthausen: Jaime Faria vs Roman Safiullin

Probability

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-46.5pp

24h Vol

$226.7K

Liquidity

$303.4K

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
May 10, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
Official ATP Tour data
Type
Official sports result
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
May 2, 2026, 17:00May 3, 2026, 16:23
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 46pp over 24h

    Now 0¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 162.6h

    LOW
  • 16:24Signal

    Resolution risk

    UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

    LOW

Price movement

-46.5pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Jaime Faria and Roman Safiullin in the Mauthausen, originally scheduled for May 3, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jaime Faria' if Jaime Faria advances against Roman Safiullin. This market will resolve to 'Roman Safiullin' if Roman Safiullin advances against Jaime Faria. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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