Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Ignacio Buse
Probability
100¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+15.4pp
24h Vol
$902.0K
Liquidity
$295.6K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Without an Anthropic API key we show a heuristic summary derived from the market metrics.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 158.9h
- 18:07SignalHIGH
Signal · Clustered NO flow
25 trades ($5,882) aligned on NO across 22 wallets in the last 30 min.
- 18:07SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 159h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 18:07TradeMEDIUM
Motionless-Artifact · SELL YES $5.3K
@ 88¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
25- SELLUP20s ago
- BUYNATUS VINCERE20s ago
- BUYDOWN20s ago
- BUYDOWN20s ago
- BUYDOWN20s ago
- SELLYES20s ago
- BUYYES20s ago
- BUYDOWN20s ago
- BUYDOWN20s ago
- BUYDOWN20s ago
- BUYNATUS VINCERE20s ago
- BUYYES20s ago
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Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fils and Ignacio Buse in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fils' if Arthur Fils advances against Ignacio Buse. This market will resolve to 'Ignacio Buse' if Ignacio Buse advances against Arthur Fils. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- Resolution source
- https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
- UMA status
- proposed
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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