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OtherExpires May 1, 2026

Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Ignacio Buse

Probability

100¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+15.4pp

24h Vol

$902.0K

Liquidity

$295.6K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 22, 2026, 17:00Apr 24, 2026, 18:07
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Without an Anthropic API key we show a heuristic summary derived from the market metrics.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 158.9h

    LOW
  • 18:07Signal

    Signal · Clustered NO flow

    25 trades ($5,882) aligned on NO across 22 wallets in the last 30 min.

    HIGH
  • 18:07Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 159h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 18:07Trade

    Motionless-Artifact · SELL YES $5.3K

    @ 88¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

25
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fils and Ignacio Buse in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fils' if Arthur Fils advances against Ignacio Buse. This market will resolve to 'Ignacio Buse' if Ignacio Buse advances against Arthur Fils. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
May 1, 2026
Resolution source
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
UMA status
proposed
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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