Shymkent 2: Sergey Fomin vs Jelle Sels
Probability
100¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+30.9pp
24h Vol
$111.7K
Liquidity
$115.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Up 31pp over 24h
Now 100¢; flat in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 139h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 03UMA status
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 138.8h
- 11:10SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 139h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+31.0pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.
Biggest hourly move: +49.0pp at 11:00 (to 100¢).
Show 5 hourly moves
- 11:00 · +49.0pp → 100¢
- 09:00 · +40.5pp → 92¢
- 07:00 · +19.5pp → 71¢
- 06:00 · +17.5pp → 69¢
- 05:00 · +18.0pp → 69¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 100¢+49.6pp
Fomin vs. Sels: Match O/U 21.5
Other · Vol $48.53
- 100¢+48.9pp
Set 1 Winner: Fomin vs Sels
Other · Vol $0.00
- 100¢+48.9pp
Fomin vs. Sels: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
Other · Vol $5.58
- 0¢-62.6pp
Sergey Fomin vs. Jelle Sels: Total Sets O/U 2.5
Other · Vol $223.94
- 0¢-49.1pp
Fomin vs. Sels: Match O/U 22.5
Other · Vol $205.31
- 0¢-51.4pp
Fomin vs. Sels: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
Other · Vol $5.58
- 0¢-50.1pp
Fomin vs. Sels: Match O/U 23.5
Other · Vol $196.31
- 0¢-51.9pp
Fomin vs. Sels: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
Other · Vol $41.15
- 98¢+44.5pp
Huzhou: Diletta Cherubini vs Ekaterina Reyngold
Other · Vol $601.2K
- 0¢-0.1pp
Netanyahu out by April 30?
Other · Vol $250.5K
- 100¢+50.0pp
Huzhou: Rada Zolotareva vs Despina Papamichail
Other · Vol $222.2K
- 32¢+2.5pp
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $187.2K
- 100¢+66.5pp
La Bisbal: Elena Pridankina vs Kamilla Rakhimova
Other · Vol $135.6K
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Other · Vol $121.8K
Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Sergey Fomin and Jelle Sels in the Shymkent 2, originally scheduled for April 27, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sergey Fomin' if Sergey Fomin advances against Jelle Sels. This market will resolve to 'Jelle Sels' if Jelle Sels advances against Sergey Fomin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- May 4, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
20 wallets- Elated-Lentil9.2K
- Caring-Kingfish8.7K
- Caring-Memory7.3K
- Hard-Ironclad5.4K
- Happy-Go-Lucky-Min3.6K
- Glaring-Salt17.4K
- Scary-Edible3.8K
- Youthful-Mug2.5K
- Frail-Possible1.9K
- Helpless-Aside1.5K