SportsExpires May 10, 2026
Creator

Shymkent 2: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Manoj Dhamne Manas

Probability

100¢

1h

+7.4pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$196.7K

Liquidity

$422.3K

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
May 10, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
Official ATP Tour data
Type
Official sports result
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
May 2, 2026, 17:00May 3, 2026, 08:48
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 1 factor
  • 01
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 166.2h

    LOW
  • 08:48Signal

    Resolution risk

    UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

    LOW

Price movement

+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.

Trade flow

  • 08:47Trade

    Probable-Farrow · SELL BUVAYSAR GADAMAURI $1.0K

    @ 100¢

    LOW
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

1
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Buvaysar Gadamauri and Manoj Dhamne Manas in the Shymkent 2, originally scheduled for May 3, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Buvaysar Gadamauri' if Buvaysar Gadamauri advances against Manoj Dhamne Manas. This market will resolve to 'Manoj Dhamne Manas' if Manoj Dhamne Manas advances against Buvaysar Gadamauri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Alerts

¢
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