UnclassifiedExpires May 4, 2026

Mauthausen: Hugo Gaston vs Matthias Ujvary

Probability

100¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+16.0pp

24h Vol

$59.6K

Liquidity

$283.4K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 25, 2026, 23:00Apr 27, 2026, 15:29
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 1

    Up 16pp over 24h

    Now 100¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 161h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 3

    UMA status: proposed

    An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 160.5h

    LOW
  • 15:29Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 161h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+16.0pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Gaston and Matthias Ujvary in the Mauthausen, originally scheduled for April 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Gaston' if Hugo Gaston advances against Matthias Ujvary. This market will resolve to 'Matthias Ujvary' if Matthias Ujvary advances against Hugo Gaston. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
May 4, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.