UnclassifiedExpires May 4, 2026

Ostrava: Tom Gentzsch vs George Loffhagen

Probability

64¢

1h

+1.0pp

24h

+3.5pp

24h Vol

$4.0K

Liquidity

$52.1K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 25, 2026, 23:00Apr 27, 2026, 12:33
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 1

    Up 4pp over 24h

    Now 64¢; +1.0pp in the last hour.

  • 2

    Momentum signal firing

    Probability moved up 3.5pp in 24h with 0.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

What to track next

  • Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Watch the next 6–24 hours: momentum signals historically extend on this kind of setup but pay spread on entry. Compare to /backtest for the rule's historical performance.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 163.4h

    LOW
  • 12:34Signal

    Momentum up

    Probability moved up 3.5pp in 24h with 0.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

+5.0pp over the last 24h, now 64¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Tom Gentzsch and George Loffhagen in the Ostrava, originally scheduled for April 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tom Gentzsch' if Tom Gentzsch advances against George Loffhagen. This market will resolve to 'George Loffhagen' if George Loffhagen advances against Tom Gentzsch. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 4, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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