Brazzaville: Calvin Hemery vs Aziz Dougaz
Probability
80¢
1h
+18.0pp
24h
+22.5pp
24h Vol
$14.8K
Liquidity
$51.9K
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 12, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Price move
Up 23pp over 24h
Now 80¢; +18.0pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Momentum signal firing
Probability moved up 22.5pp in 24h with 0.3× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
What to track next
- Set an alert if probability drops back below 75¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Watch the next 6–24 hours: momentum signals historically extend on this kind of setup but pay spread on entry. Compare to /backtest for the rule's historical performance.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 12, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 182.0h
- 18:58SignalHIGH
Momentum up
Probability moved up 22.5pp in 24h with 0.3× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
Price movement
+22.5pp over the last 24h, now 80¢.
Active signals
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Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Calvin Hemery and Aziz Dougaz in the Brazzaville, originally scheduled for May 5, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Calvin Hemery' if Calvin Hemery advances against Aziz Dougaz. This market will resolve to 'Aziz Dougaz' if Aziz Dougaz advances against Calvin Hemery. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Alerts
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