SportsExpires May 9, 2026
Creator

Cagliari: Hubert Hurkacz vs Roman Andres Burruchaga

Probability

86¢

1h

+43.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$398.2K

Liquidity

$93.9K

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 9, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
Official ATP Tour data
Type
Official sports result
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
May 1, 2026, 23:00May 2, 2026, 16:16
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 1 factor
  • 01
    Volume pressure

    Heavy volume on this book — 4.2× turnover

    $398.2k traded against $93.9k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

What to track next

  • Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 164.2h

    LOW

Price movement

+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 86¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

1
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Hubert Hurkacz and Roman Andres Burruchaga in the Cagliari, originally scheduled for May 2, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hubert Hurkacz' if Hubert Hurkacz advances against Roman Andres Burruchaga. This market will resolve to 'Roman Andres Burruchaga' if Roman Andres Burruchaga advances against Hubert Hurkacz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Alerts

¢
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