UnclassifiedExpires May 5, 2026

Aix en Provence: Daniel Jade vs Martin Landaluce

Probability

17¢

1h

+10.9pp

24h

-34.1pp

24h Vol

$11.9K

Liquidity

$55.7K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 26, 2026, 23:00Apr 28, 2026, 14:53
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 34pp over 24h

    Now 17¢; +10.9pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Divergence signal firing

    Price is moving against its 24h trend — 1h +10.9pp vs. 24h -34.1pp.

What to track next

  • Set an alert if probability recovers above 22¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Watch the 1h vs 24h trend on the chart above — divergence resolves either by 1h reverting to the 24h direction or by the 24h trend flipping.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 162.1h

    LOW
  • 14:54Signal

    Short-term vs. trend divergence

    Price is moving against its 24h trend — 1h +10.9pp vs. 24h -34.1pp.

    HIGH

Price movement

-34.1pp over the last 24h, now 17¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Jade and Martin Landaluce in the Aix en Provence, originally scheduled for April 28, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Jade' if Daniel Jade advances against Martin Landaluce. This market will resolve to 'Martin Landaluce' if Martin Landaluce advances against Daniel Jade. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 5, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
Official ATP Tour data
Type
Official sports result
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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