Aix en Provence: Daniel Jade vs Martin Landaluce
Probability
17¢
1h
+10.9pp
24h
-34.1pp
24h Vol
$11.9K
Liquidity
$55.7K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Price move
Down 34pp over 24h
Now 17¢; +10.9pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Divergence signal firing
Price is moving against its 24h trend — 1h +10.9pp vs. 24h -34.1pp.
What to track next
- Set an alert if probability recovers above 22¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Watch the 1h vs 24h trend on the chart above — divergence resolves either by 1h reverting to the 24h direction or by the 24h trend flipping.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 162.1h
- 14:54SignalHIGH
Short-term vs. trend divergence
Price is moving against its 24h trend — 1h +10.9pp vs. 24h -34.1pp.
Price movement
-34.1pp over the last 24h, now 17¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Jade and Martin Landaluce in the Aix en Provence, originally scheduled for April 28, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Jade' if Daniel Jade advances against Martin Landaluce. This market will resolve to 'Martin Landaluce' if Martin Landaluce advances against Daniel Jade. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 5, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
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