Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Denis Shapovalov

1. 1

   Up 61pp over 24h

   Now 100¢; +55.5pp in the last hour.

2. 2

   Momentum signal firing

   Probability moved up 61.5pp in 24h with 0.8× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

3. 3

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 158h with open resolution ambiguity.

4. 4

   UMA status: proposed

   An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

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This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolai Budkov Kjaer and Denis Shapovalov in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolai Budkov Kjaer' if Nicolai Budkov Kjaer advances against Denis Shapovalov. This market will resolve to 'Denis Shapovalov' if Denis Shapovalov advances against Nicolai Budkov Kjaer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.