UnclassifiedExpires May 4, 2026

Shymkent 2: Manoj Dhamne Manas vs Nikita Belozertsev

Probability

62¢

1h

-23.5pp

24h

+11.0pp

24h Vol

$16.6K

Liquidity

$5.9K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 25, 2026, 17:00Apr 27, 2026, 12:51
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 1

    Up 11pp over 24h

    Now 62¢; -23.5pp in the last hour.

  • 2

    Heavy volume on this book — 2.8× turnover

    $16.6k traded against $5.9k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

  • 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $5.9k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Set an alert if probability drops back below 57¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 161.1h

    LOW

Price movement

+12.0pp over the last 24h, now 52¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Manoj Dhamne Manas and Nikita Belozertsev in the Shymkent 2, originally scheduled for April 27, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Manoj Dhamne Manas' if Manoj Dhamne Manas advances against Nikita Belozertsev. This market will resolve to 'Nikita Belozertsev' if Nikita Belozertsev advances against Manoj Dhamne Manas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 4, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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