Shymkent 2: Manoj Dhamne Manas vs Nikita Bilozertsev
Probability
81¢
1h
+3.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$4.6K
Liquidity
$2.6K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 165h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 12.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 164.7h
- 12:50SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 165h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-5.0pp over the last 24h, now 59¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Manoj Dhamne Manas and Nikita Bilozertsev in the Shymkent 2, originally scheduled for April 27, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Manoj Dhamne Manas' if Manoj Dhamne Manas advances against Nikita Bilozertsev. This market will resolve to 'Nikita Bilozertsev' if Nikita Bilozertsev advances against Manoj Dhamne Manas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 4, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (12.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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