Nava vs. Navone: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
Probability
67¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$84.53
Probability (last 7 days)
-4.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 2
Wide spread — 36.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 3
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
- 4
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 13:37SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 67¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 67¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 67¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 67¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 67¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 67¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 67¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 67¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 67¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 67¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 67¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 67¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 67¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 67¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 67¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 67¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 67¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 67¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 67¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 67¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 67¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 67¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 67¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 67¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 67¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 67¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 67¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 67¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 67¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Emilio Nava and Mariano Navone in the Bucharest Open, scheduled for March 30 2026. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Apr 6, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/currentOfficial sports result
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Wide spread (36.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).