Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Navone (+1.5)
Probability
56¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+2.5pp
24h Vol
$563.62
Liquidity
$3.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Up 3pp over 24h
Now 56¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $3.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 163.2h
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Zverev and Mariano Navone in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Zverev" if Alexander Zverev wins by 2 or more sets than Mariano Navone, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Navone." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/currentOfficial sports result
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).