Mauthausen: Lukas Neumayer vs Roman Safiullin
Probability
0¢
1h
-5.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$81.9K
Liquidity
$448.3K
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- May 9, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Volume pressure
Light volume — move on a thin book
Only $81.9k traded against $448.3k of visible liquidity (0.18× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- May 9, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 164.9h
- 13:05SignalLOW
Resolution risk
UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Lukas Neumayer and Roman Safiullin in the Mauthausen, originally scheduled for May 2, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lukas Neumayer' if Lukas Neumayer advances against Roman Safiullin. This market will resolve to 'Roman Safiullin' if Roman Safiullin advances against Lukas Neumayer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
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