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OtherExpires Apr 30, 2026

Madrid Open: Sebastian Ofner vs Tomas Etcheverry

Probability

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-38.5pp

24h Vol

$402.1K

Liquidity

$168.9K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 22, 2026, 17:00Apr 24, 2026, 18:07
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Without an Anthropic API key we show a heuristic summary derived from the market metrics.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 133.9h

    LOW
  • 18:07Signal

    Signal · Clustered NO flow

    25 trades ($5,882) aligned on NO across 22 wallets in the last 30 min.

    HIGH
  • 18:07Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 134h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 18:07Trade

    Motionless-Artifact · SELL YES $5.3K

    @ 88¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

25
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Ofner and Tomas Etcheverry in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 23, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Ofner' if Sebastian Ofner advances against Tomas Etcheverry. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Etcheverry' if Tomas Etcheverry advances against Sebastian Ofner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
Apr 30, 2026
Resolution source
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
UMA status
proposed
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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