UnclassifiedExpires May 4, 2026

Shymkent 2: Amir Omarkhanov vs Denis Yevseyev

Probability

35¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-17.0pp

24h Vol

$5.1K

Liquidity

$57.6K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 25, 2026, 17:00Apr 28, 2026, 03:08
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 17pp over 24h

    Now 35¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 02
    Volume pressure

    Light volume — move on a thin book

    Only $5.1k traded against $57.6k of visible liquidity (0.09× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.

What to track next

  • Set an alert if probability recovers above 40¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 146.9h

    LOW

Price movement

-17.0pp over the last 24h, now 35¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Amir Omarkhanov and Denis Yevseyev in the Shymkent 2, originally scheduled for April 27, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Amir Omarkhanov' if Amir Omarkhanov advances against Denis Yevseyev. This market will resolve to 'Denis Yevseyev' if Denis Yevseyev advances against Amir Omarkhanov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 4, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
Official ATP Tour data
Type
Official sports result
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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