Set 1 Winner: Piros vs Houkes

• 1

  Down 20pp over 24h

  Now 50¢; -16.5pp in the last hour.

• 2

  Resolution-risk signal firing

  Expires in 162h with open resolution ambiguity.

• 3

  Wide spread — 83.0¢

  Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

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This market refers to the tennis match between Zsombor Piros and Max Houkes in the Ostrava, originally scheduled for April 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Piros” if Zsombor Piros wins the first set. It will resolve to “Houkes” if Max Houkes wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.