Jurij Rodionov vs. Darwin Blanch: Total Sets O/U 2.5
Probability
38¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-28.0pp
24h Vol
$100.00
Liquidity
$1.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Down 28pp over 24h
Now 38¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $1.5k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert if probability recovers above 43¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 164.9h
Price movement
-28.0pp over the last 24h, now 38¢.
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 66¢+7.5pp
Mauthausen: Jurij Rodionov vs Darwin Blanch
Other · Vol $6.5K
- 52¢-0.5pp
Rodionov vs. Blanch: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 25¢-25.5pp
Rodionov vs. Blanch: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 61¢+27.5pp
Set 1 Winner: Rodionov vs Blanch
Other · Vol $289.86
- 74¢+23.5pp
Rodionov vs. Blanch: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 53¢+1.5pp
Rodionov vs. Blanch: Match O/U 21.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 45¢-5.0pp
Rodionov vs. Blanch: Match O/U 22.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 52¢+1.0pp
Rodionov vs. Blanch: Match O/U 23.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 36¢-0.9pp
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Other · Vol $366.9K
- 4¢0.0pp
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Other · Vol $339.9K
- 56¢+1.0pp
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-27?
Other · Vol $279.6K
- 11¢-0.5pp
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
Other · Vol $265.6K
- 37¢-17.5pp
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealand
Other · Vol $239.3K
- 29¢+25.1pp
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?
Other · Vol $231.4K
Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Jurij Rodionov and Darwin Blanch in the Mauthausen, originally scheduled for April 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets completed equals or exceeds 3. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set for total set markets. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 4, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primary
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.