Pedro Rodrigues vs. Juan Manuel La Serna: Total Sets O/U 2.5
Probability
24¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$34.95
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 12, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primary
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (43.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.
- 02Spread cost
Wide spread — 43.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 12, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primary
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (43.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 147.1h
- 09:55SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 24¢.
Biggest hourly move: -30.0pp at 04:00 (to 24¢).
Show top 8 of 11 hourly moves
- 06:00 · -30.0pp → 24¢
- 04:00 · -30.0pp → 24¢
- 03:00 · -26.0pp → 24¢
- 02:00 · -26.5pp → 24¢
- 00:00 · -26.0pp → 24¢
- 22:00 · -26.0pp → 24¢
- 20:00 · -26.0pp → 24¢
- 19:00 · -26.0pp → 24¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
Related Markets
14- 5¢+1.5
Santos: Pedro Rodrigues vs Juan Manuel La Serna
Other · Vol $526.30
- 50¢0.0
Rodrigues vs. Serna: Match O/U 21.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0
Rodrigues vs. Serna: Match O/U 22.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0
Rodrigues vs. Serna: Match O/U 23.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 13¢+2.0
Set 1 Winner: Rodrigues vs Serna
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢-0.5
Rodrigues vs. Serna: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0
Rodrigues vs. Serna: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢-0.5
Rodrigues vs. Serna: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢0.0
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Other · Vol $255.6K
- 2¢+0.4
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Other · Vol $174.2K
- 100¢0.0
Jiujiang: Xinxin Yao vs Haruka Kaji
Other · Vol $156.6K
- 86¢+30.5
Wuxi: Mark Lajal vs Mikhail Kukushkin
Other · Vol $154.3K
- 100¢0.0
Jiujiang: En-Shuo Liang vs Taylah Preston
Other · Vol $151.9K
- 100¢-0.1
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Other · Vol $139.7K
Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Pedro Rodrigues and Juan Manuel La Serna in the Santos, originally scheduled for May 5, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets completed equals or exceeds 3. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set for total set markets. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.
