Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Probability
99¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.1pp
24h Vol
$311.8K
Liquidity
$487.4K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.1pp 7dWhy did it move?
Without an Anthropic API key we show a heuristic summary derived from the market metrics.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 18:11SignalHIGH
Signal · Clustered NO flow
25 trades ($5,882) aligned on NO across 22 wallets in the last 30 min.
- 18:11SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 18:07TradeMEDIUM
Motionless-Artifact · SELL YES $5.3K
@ 88¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
25- SELLUP4m ago
- BUYNATUS VINCERE4m ago
- BUYDOWN4m ago
- BUYDOWN4m ago
- BUYDOWN4m ago
- SELLYES4m ago
- BUYYES4m ago
- BUYDOWN4m ago
- BUYDOWN4m ago
- BUYDOWN4m ago
- BUYNATUS VINCERE4m ago
- BUYYES4m ago
Related Markets
14- 50¢0.0pp
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be another person?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Person Q?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Person R?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Person S?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Person T?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Person U?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢-0.1pp
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Other · Vol $51.8K
- 50¢0.0pp
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Person P?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 100¢0.0pp
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Other · Vol $17.7M
- 0¢+0.1pp
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Other · Vol $7.9M
- 1¢0.0pp
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
Other · Vol $5.8M
- 0¢0.0pp
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Other · Vol $5.2M
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Other · Vol $4.3M
- 11¢+3.0pp
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Other · Vol $3.5M
Market Description
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Apr 12, 2026
- Resolution source
- UMA status
- n/a
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- No primary resolution source listed — read the market rules.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
20 wallets- Unaware-Birdhouse631.2K
- Violet-Transmission552.5K
- Grotesque-Comb420.9K
- Reliable-Loft357.2K
- Vigilant-Railing280.9K
- 0xa5ef…29665.2M
- Forsaken-Conifer408.2K
- Assured-Advertising284.4K
- Idle-Isogloss214.9K
- Elated-Bee160.5K