Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Elmer Moeller
Probability
95¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$44.27
Liquidity
$8.7K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 195.8h
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Jannik Sinner and Elmer Moeller in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 26, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jannik Sinner' if Jannik Sinner advances against Elmer Moeller. This market will resolve to 'Elmer Moeller' if Elmer Moeller advances against Jannik Sinner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/currentNews consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).