Santos: Miguel Tobon vs Eduardo Ribeiro
Probability
100¢
1h
+18.4pp
24h
+65.5pp
24h Vol
$141.0K
Liquidity
$495.6K
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- May 12, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Up 65pp over 24h
Now 100¢; +18.4pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Momentum signal firing
Probability moved up 65.5pp in 24h with 0.3× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 03Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- May 12, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 161.0h
- 20:02SignalHIGH
Momentum up
Probability moved up 65.5pp in 24h with 0.3× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 20:02SignalLOW
Resolution risk
UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.
Price movement
+65.5pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.
Biggest hourly move: +50.0pp at 20:00 (to 100¢).
Show 3 hourly moves
- 20:00 · +50.0pp → 100¢
- 19:00 · +34.5pp → 85¢
- 17:00 · -12.5pp → 38¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Miguel Tobon and Eduardo Ribeiro in the Santos, originally scheduled for May 5, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Miguel Tobon' if Miguel Tobon advances against Eduardo Ribeiro. This market will resolve to 'Eduardo Ribeiro' if Eduardo Ribeiro advances against Miguel Tobon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
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