UnclassifiedExpires May 11, 2026
Creator

Set Handicap: Travaglia (-1.5) vs Wawrinka (+1.5)

Probability

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$227.42

Liquidity

$77.9K

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
May 11, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
official ATP result
Type
Official sports result
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
May 4, 2026, 09:00May 4, 2026, 11:13
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 1 factor
  • 01
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 163.0h

    LOW
  • 14:32Signal

    Resolution risk

    UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

    LOW

Price movement

+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Stefano Travaglia and Stan Wawrinka in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification, originally scheduled for May 4, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Travaglia" if Stefano Travaglia wins by 2 or more sets than Stan Wawrinka, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Wawrinka." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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