Trungelliti vs. Svajda: Match O/U 23.5
Probability
100¢
1h
+1.0pp
24h
+56.0pp
24h Vol
$157.69
Liquidity
$33.8K
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- May 13, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Up 56pp over 24h
Now 100¢; +1.0pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Momentum signal firing
Probability moved up 56.0pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 03Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- May 13, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 163.5h
- 13:29SignalHIGH
Momentum up
Probability moved up 56.0pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 13:29SignalLOW
Resolution risk
UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.
Price movement
+56.0pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
Related Markets
6- 100¢+45.5
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexandra Eala vs Magdalena Frech
Other · Vol $450.4K
- 0¢-40.5
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Zhizhen Zhang vs Daniel Altmaier
Other · Vol $326.8K
- 76¢+11.0
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Alexander Shevchenko
Other · Vol $326.7K
- 0¢-62.5
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marco Trungelliti vs Zachary Svajda
Other · Vol $273.3K
- 0¢-74.5
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Magda Linette vs Tatjana Maria
Other · Vol $255.8K
- 0¢0.0
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Other · Vol $255.7K
Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Zachary Svajda in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 6, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP statistics.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
