Set Handicap: Trungelliti (-1.5) vs Svajda (+1.5)
Probability
1¢
1h
-49.5pp
24h
-39.5pp
24h Vol
$2.4K
Liquidity
$7.8K
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 13, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Price move
Down 39pp over 24h
Now 1¢; -49.5pp in the last hour.
- 02Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $7.8k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert if probability recovers above 6¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 13, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 164.7h
Price movement
-39.5pp over the last 24h, now 1¢.
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Zachary Svajda in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 6, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Trungelliti" if Marco Trungelliti wins by 2 or more sets than Zachary Svajda, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Svajda." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.
Alerts
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