Perugia: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Timofey Skatov

• 01
  Price move

  Down 54pp over 24h

  Now 0¢; -54.4pp in the last hour.

• 02
  Active signal

  Momentum observation firing

  Probability moved down 54.4pp in 24h with 1.3× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

• 03
  Active signal

  Resolution-risk observation firing

  UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

The market is in an oracle/review state where proposal, dispute, and final settlement evidence matter more than the displayed price.

Research only · Not trade advice · Every source maps to one criterion

This market refers to the tennis match between Chun-Hsin Tseng and Timofey Skatov in the Perugia, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Chun-Hsin Tseng' if Chun-Hsin Tseng advances against Timofey Skatov. This market will resolve to 'Timofey Skatov' if Timofey Skatov advances against Chun-Hsin Tseng. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Categories come from a deterministic engine: manual overrides (highest priority) → sports hard markers → event-tag rules → keyword rules → Gamma category hint → default. The engine is versioned in category-overrides.ts; methodology lives at /methodology.