Madrid Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Flavio Cobolli
Probability
36¢
1h
-1.0pp
24h
-1.5pp
24h Vol
$5.3K
Liquidity
$224.4K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 36¢; -1.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Light volume — move on a thin book
Only $5.3k traded against $224.4k of visible liquidity (0.02× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 169.1h
Price movement
-2.0pp over the last 24h, now 36¢.
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
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Vallejo vs. Cobolli: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
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Set 1 Winner: Vallejo vs Cobolli
Other · Vol $0.00
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Adolfo Vallejo vs. Flavio Cobolli: Total Sets O/U 2.5
Other · Vol $74.25
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Vallejo vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 21.5
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Other · Vol $1.2K
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Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Vallejo (+1.5)
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Vallejo vs. Cobolli: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
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Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Adolfo Vallejo and Flavio Cobolli in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adolfo Vallejo' if Adolfo Vallejo advances against Flavio Cobolli. This market will resolve to 'Flavio Cobolli' if Flavio Cobolli advances against Adolfo Vallejo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 4, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
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