UnclassifiedExpires May 12, 2026
Creator

Santos: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Ryan Dickerson

Probability

21¢

1h

-69.0pp

24h

-63.5pp

24h Vol

$128.9K

Liquidity

$107.6K

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 12, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
Official ATP Tour data
Link
atptour.com
Type
Official sports result
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
May 3, 2026, 05:00May 5, 2026, 22:26
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·snap:snap_2026-05-05T22-28Z

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 64pp over 24h

    Now 21¢; -69.0pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Momentum signal firing

    Probability moved down 63.5pp in 24h with 1.2× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

What to track next

  • Set an alert if probability recovers above 26¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Watch the next 6–24 hours: momentum signals historically extend on this kind of setup but pay spread on entry. Compare to /backtest for the rule's historical performance.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 158.5h

    LOW
  • 22:28Signal

    Momentum down

    Probability moved down 63.5pp in 24h with 1.2× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

    HIGH

Price movement

-63.5pp over the last 24h, now 21¢.

Biggest hourly move: +38.5pp at 20:00 (to 89¢).

Show 4 hourly moves
  • 22:26 · -36.0pp → 19¢
  • 20:00 · +38.5pp → 89¢
  • 19:00 · +37.5pp → 88¢
  • 17:00 · +37.5pp → 88¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feedBrowse related marketsAlert me on the next trade
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

10
Same eventSantos: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Ryan Dickerson
Category · Other

Market Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Pablo Varillas and Ryan Dickerson in the Santos, originally scheduled for May 5, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Pablo Varillas' if Juan Pablo Varillas advances against Ryan Dickerson. This market will resolve to 'Ryan Dickerson' if Ryan Dickerson advances against Juan Pablo Varillas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket