UnclassifiedExpires May 8, 2026
Creator

Abidjan 2: Niels Visker vs Florent Bax

Probability

100¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$54.6K

Liquidity

$452.0K

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
May 8, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
Official ATP Tour data
Type
Official sports result
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
May 1, 2026, 05:00May 1, 2026, 22:00
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 01
    Volume pressure

    Light volume — move on a thin book

    Only $54.6k traded against $452.0k of visible liquidity (0.12× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 164.5h

    LOW
  • 22:00Signal

    Resolution risk

    UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

    LOW

Price movement

+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Niels Visker and Florent Bax in the Abidjan 2, originally scheduled for May 1, 2026 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Niels Visker' if Niels Visker advances against Florent Bax. This market will resolve to 'Florent Bax' if Florent Bax advances against Niels Visker. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Alerts

¢
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