Set 1 Winner: Walton vs Cui

• 1

  Resolution-risk signal firing

  Expires in 195h with open resolution ambiguity.

• 2

  Wide spread — 93.0¢

  Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

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This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Walton and Jie Cui in the Jiujiang, originally scheduled for April 26, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Walton” if Adam Walton wins the first set. It will resolve to “Cui” if Jie Cui wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.