UnclassifiedMulti-outcomeExpires May 2, 2026
Creator

Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-05-02?

Probability

40¢

1h

-11.0pp

24h

-8.0pp

24h Vol

$28.0K

Liquidity

$16.4K

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
May 2, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
official statistics
Type
Official statistics
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Market expires May 2, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 26, 2026, 21:00May 2, 2026, 11:11
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 8pp over 24h

    Now 40¢; -11.0pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Volume pressure

    Heavy volume on this book — 1.7× turnover

    $28.0k traded against $16.4k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

  • 03
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  • 04
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $16.4k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 11:11Signal

    Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    LOW
  • 09:40Resolve

    Market resolved 2h ago

    HIGH

Price movement

-8.0pp over the last 24h, now 40¢.

Biggest hourly move: -4.0pp at 11:00 (to 42¢).

Show 2 hourly moves
  • 11:00 · -4.0pp → 42¢
  • 09:00 · +3.5pp → 50¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 2, 2026 If Melbourne Victory FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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