Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 25?
Probability
100¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.1pp
24h Vol
$41.7K
Liquidity
$150.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 16:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 6.2h
- 09:46SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.1pp
to 99¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.8pp
to 100¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 100¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.9pp
to 100¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 100¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.4pp
to 100¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.2pp
to 100¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.4pp
to 100¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.8pp
to 100¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 49.1pp
to 99¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 48.8pp
to 99¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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