OtherExpires Apr 24, 2026

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 24?

Probability

100¢

+0.0pp

24h

+2.8pp

24h Vol

$337.0K

Liquidity

$134.0K

Probability (last 7 days)

+18.9pp 7d

Apr 17, 2026, 20:00Apr 24, 2026, 18:06

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Without an Anthropic API key we show a heuristic summary derived from the market metrics.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

18:07Signal
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
HIGH
18:00Price
Probability up 8.0pp
to 100¢
MEDIUM
17:00Price
Probability up 9.5pp
to 100¢
MEDIUM
16:00Price
Probability up 9.5pp
to 100¢
MEDIUM
16:00Resolve
Market resolved 2h ago
HIGH
14:00Price
Probability up 18.4pp
to 100¢
MEDIUM
13:00Price
Probability up 17.9pp
to 100¢
MEDIUM
12:00Price
Probability up 18.3pp
to 100¢
MEDIUM
11:00Price
Probability up 26.2pp
to 100¢
MEDIUM
10:00Price
Probability up 27.6pp
to 100¢
MEDIUM
08:00Price
Probability up 34.9pp
to 99¢
MEDIUM
06:00Price
Probability up 28.2pp
to 99¢
MEDIUM
05:00Price
Probability up 25.2pp
to 99¢
MEDIUM
03:00Price
Probability up 17.0pp
to 99¢
MEDIUM
02:00Price
Probability up 21.3pp
to 99¢
MEDIUM
00:00Price
Probability up 25.3pp
to 99¢
MEDIUM
23:00Price
Probability up 28.2pp
to 99¢
MEDIUM
21:00Price
Probability up 24.9pp
to 98¢
MEDIUM
19:00Price
Probability up 20.0pp
to 97¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 42.0pp
to 99¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 41.7pp
to 98¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 43.1pp
to 97¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 42.9pp
to 96¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 26.6pp
to 95¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 26.4pp
to 95¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 33.6pp
to 97¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 30.1pp
to 95¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 28.0pp
to 95¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 27.5pp
to 95¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 27.5pp
to 96¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

BUYUP
Worthy-Armpit$1.69@ 58¢
5m ago
BUYREAL MADRID CF
Superficial-Atheist$4.62@ 15¢
5m ago
BUYUP
Blaring-Fresco$5.00@ 74¢
5m ago
BUYBETBOOM TEAM
Overjoyed-Limo$1.09@ 14¢
5m ago
BUYNO
0x9dd9…08bd$5.74@ 96¢
5m ago
BUYUP
Wary-Machine$3.65@ 73¢
5m ago
BUYUP
Wary-Machine$4.88@ 72¢
5m ago
BUYUP
Second-Hand-Barrage$4.87@ 63¢
5m ago
BUYUP
0x8176…709a$1.86@ 81¢
5m ago
BUYDOWN
0xe907…cff6$3.72@ 20¢
5m ago
BUYDOWN
Nice-Prejudice$1.35@ 27¢
5m ago
BUYUP
0x3969…1b7c$4.72@ 59¢
5m ago

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same eventBitcoin above ___ on April 24?

Category · Other

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk

End date: Apr 24, 2026
Resolution source: —
UMA status: proposed
Market type: Binary

UMA status: proposed
No primary resolution source listed — read the market rules.
Market expires Apr 24, 2026 — dispute window active.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).

Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

Open on Polymarket