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CryptoExpires Apr 25, 2026

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 25?

Probability

100¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+1.0pp

24h Vol

$192.1K

Liquidity

$34.6K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 17:00Apr 25, 2026, 12:54
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Up 1pp over 24h

    Now 100¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Heavy volume on this book — 5.6× turnover

    $192.1k traded against $34.6k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

  3. 3

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 3h with open resolution ambiguity.

  4. 4

    Expiry in 3h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 16:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 3.1h

    HIGH
  • 12:54Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 3h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 6.8pp

    to 100¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability up 5.2pp

    to 100¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 6.2pp

    to 100¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 4.7pp

    to 100¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 4.8pp

    to 100¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 5.3pp

    to 100¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 99¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 4.8pp

    to 99¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 99¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability up 7.1pp

    to 99¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 9.3pp

    to 99¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 8.2pp

    to 99¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 10.2pp

    to 99¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 10.0pp

    to 99¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 19.7pp

    to 99¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability up 19.4pp

    to 99¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 18.6pp

    to 98¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 26.3pp

    to 98¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 27.5pp

    to 98¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 27.8pp

    to 97¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 26.0pp

    to 98¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 27.7pp

    to 97¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 19.6pp

    to 98¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 18.4pp

    to 98¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 20.6pp

    to 98¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 24.2pp

    to 97¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 25.2pp

    to 96¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 26.2pp

    to 96¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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