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OtherExpires Apr 24, 2026

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 24?

Probability

0¢

1h

-10.4pp

24h

-60.5pp

24h Vol

$1.1M

Liquidity

$205.6K

Probability (last 7 days)

-51.4pp 7d
Apr 17, 2026, 17:00Apr 24, 2026, 16:48
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Without an Anthropic API key we show a heuristic summary derived from the market metrics.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 18:07Signal

    Signal · Momentum down

    Probability moved down 60.5pp in 24h with 5.5× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

    HIGH
  • 18:07Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    HIGH
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 46.0pp

    to 89¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Resolve

    Market resolved 2h ago

    HIGH
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 26.0pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 35.0pp

    to 63¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 19.0pp

    to 39¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability up 10.0pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 19.0pp

    to 35¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 27.0pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 13.5pp

    to 39¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 28.0pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 38.0pp

    to 63¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 33.5pp

    to 60¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability up 29.5pp

    to 59¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 26.0pp

    to 48¢

    MEDIUM
  • 19:00Price

    Probability up 23.5pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 27.0pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 25.5pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 8.5pp

    to 38¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 11.0pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 8.5pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 8.5pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 44¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

25
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventBitcoin above ___ on April 24?
Category · Other

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 24, 2026
Resolution source
—
UMA status
proposed
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the market rules.
  • Market expires Apr 24, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

20 wallets
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