Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 25?
Probability
0¢
1h
+0.1pp
24h
-5.3pp
24h Vol
$289.7K
Liquidity
$29.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 5pp over 24h
Now 0¢; +0.1pp in the last hour.
- 2
Heavy volume on this book — 9.7× turnover
$289.7k traded against $29.8k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.
- 3
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 4
Expiry in 1h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 1 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 16:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 1.4h
- 14:35SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -26.5pp
to 0¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.3pp
to 0¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -29.6pp
to 0¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -27.6pp
to 0¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -33.6pp
to 0¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -33.8pp
to 1¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -31.9pp
to 1¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -36.0pp
to 1¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -32.1pp
to 1¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -26.1pp
to 1¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.1pp
to 1¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.8pp
to 2¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.9pp
to 2¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.8pp
to 3¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.9pp
to 3¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.5pp
to 6¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 7¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 5¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 5¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 6¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 9¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 9¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 18¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 18¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 11¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.5pp
to 21¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 100¢+0.1pp
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 25?
Crypto · Vol $48.3K
- 100¢+0.1pp
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 25?
Crypto · Vol $41.1K
- 100¢+0.1pp
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 25?
Crypto · Vol $249.3K
- 100¢+0.8pp
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 25?
Crypto · Vol $164.8K
- 100¢+1.4pp
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 25?
Crypto · Vol $187.3K
- 100¢+8.5pp
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 25?
Crypto · Vol $297.9K
- 9¢-32.5pp
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 25?
Crypto · Vol $122.6K
- 0¢-0.7pp
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 25?
Crypto · Vol $137.6K
- 1¢0.0pp
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
Crypto · Vol $5.8M
- 0¢-28.4pp
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 24?
Crypto · Vol $2.9M
- 3¢+1.3pp
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
Crypto · Vol $1.1M
- 100¢+8.5pp
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 25?
Crypto · Vol $297.9K
- 1¢-0.4pp
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?
Crypto · Vol $294.4K
- 100¢+0.1pp
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 25?
Crypto · Vol $249.3K
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
20 wallets- 0xd4aa…d40c11.1K
- Stormy-Eyelash10.5K
- Shocking-Treat9.3K
- Offensive-Chime9.0K
- Hospitable-Misreading8.3K
- Guilty-Jail39.2K
- Oily-Container13.3K
- 0xb6fe…739413.1K
- Respectful-Clan10.6K
- Ambitious-Cicada9.2K