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CryptoExpires Apr 27, 2026

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 27?

Probability

11¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-12.0pp

24h Vol

$4.0K

Liquidity

$28.5K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 20, 2026, 17:00Apr 25, 2026, 12:52
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 12pp over 24h

    Now 11¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 51h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Expiry in 51h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 51.1h

    HIGH
  • 12:52Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 51h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -18.5pp

    to 11¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability down -24.0pp

    to 11¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -21.0pp

    to 11¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -27.0pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -27.5pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -25.5pp

    to 11¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -28.5pp

    to 12¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -24.5pp

    to 12¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -21.0pp

    to 11¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability down -19.0pp

    to 12¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -17.5pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -15.0pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -9.5pp

    to 16¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 20¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability up 8.0pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 8.5pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 19¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 20¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 19¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 27¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.5pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 27, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
  • Market expires Apr 27, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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