Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 28?
Probability
16¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-8.5pp
24h Vol
$550.24
Liquidity
$23.6K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 76.6h
- 11:21SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 77h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.0pp
to 16¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.5pp
to 16¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.0pp
to 14¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.0pp
to 15¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.5pp
to 17¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.5pp
to 17¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.5pp
to 17¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.0pp
to 16¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.0pp
to 14¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 19¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 18¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.5pp
to 20¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 24¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 25¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 28¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 27¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 20¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 20¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 23¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 25¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Apr 28, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).