Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 27?
Probability
2¢
1h
-0.1pp
24h
-2.1pp
24h Vol
$6.8K
Liquidity
$28.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 2¢; -0.1pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 46h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Expiry in 46h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 46 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 46.0h
- 18:00SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 46h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-2.0pp over the last 24h, now 2¢.
Biggest hourly move: -18.8pp at 03:00 (to 2¢).
Show all 19 hour-by-hour ticks
- 17:00 · -8.2pp → 2¢
- 16:00 · -7.7pp → 2¢
- 15:00 · -9.0pp → 2¢
- 13:00 · -11.5pp → 2¢
- 12:00 · -9.8pp → 2¢
- 10:00 · -14.1pp → 2¢
- 09:00 · -12.0pp → 2¢
- 08:00 · -15.4pp → 2¢
- 06:00 · -16.1pp → 2¢
- 05:00 · -15.4pp → 2¢
- 03:00 · -18.8pp → 2¢
- 02:00 · -16.8pp → 2¢
- 00:00 · -13.8pp → 2¢
- 22:00 · -11.8pp → 2¢
- 20:00 · -13.1pp → 3¢
- 1d ago · -11.2pp → 4¢
- 1d ago · -7.6pp → 4¢
- 1d ago · -6.5pp → 5¢
- 1d ago · -7.1pp → 5¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 27, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Binance spot pairExchange priceextracted · highbinance.com
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 27, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
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