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CryptoExpires Apr 29, 2026

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 29?

Probability

1h

+0.5pp

24h

-6.0pp

24h Vol

$252.63

Liquidity

$21.1K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 22, 2026, 17:00Apr 25, 2026, 12:53
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 6pp over 24h

    Now 7¢; +0.5pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 99h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $21.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 99.1h

    LOW
  • 12:53Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 99h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -12.0pp

    to 7¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability down -14.0pp

    to 7¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -14.5pp

    to 7¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -15.0pp

    to 7¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -17.0pp

    to 7¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -17.0pp

    to 7¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
Apr 29, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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