Bitcoin ETF Flows on April 27?
Probability
53¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+2.5pp
24h Vol
$16.54
Liquidity
$38.41
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 61.5h
- 08:30SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 61h with open resolution ambiguity.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Positive" if total Bitcoin ETF flows on Monday, April 27, 2026 are greater than 0, and to "Negative" if they are less than 0. If flows are exactly 0, the market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source is Farside Investors, specifically the ETF Flow tab available at https://farside.co.uk/btc/ in the "Total" column for the date specified in the title. The total flows will be considered finalized for that day once flows for all ETF providers have been published. If data for any ETF provider remains unpublished by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the date specified in the title, the market will resolve based on all available data published up to that time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or fails to publish any data by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the specified date, the market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 27, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://farside.co.uk/btc/
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 27, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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