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CryptoExpires Apr 25, 2026

Bitcoin Up or Down on April 25?

Probability

22¢

1h

-6.0pp

24h

-29.0pp

24h Vol

$96.5K

Liquidity

$31.4K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 23, 2026, 17:00Apr 25, 2026, 11:21
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 16:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 4.6h

    HIGH
  • 11:21Signal

    Signal · Momentum down

    Probability moved down 29.0pp in 24h with 3.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

    HIGH
  • 11:21Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 5h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Apr 24 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Apr 25 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Apr 24 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Apr 25 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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