Krka vs. BC Vienna
Probability
57¢
1h
+14.0pp
24h
-14.5pp
24h Vol
$10.93
Liquidity
$16.22
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 14pp over 24h
Now 57¢; +14.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 170h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 77.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 169.8h
- 13:10SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 170h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 43¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 38¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 41¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 38¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 38¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 48¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 59¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.0pp
to 72¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.0pp
to 72¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.0pp
to 72¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.0pp
to 72¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.0pp
to 72¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.5pp
to 72¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.0pp
to 72¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.0pp
to 72¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.0pp
to 72¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.0pp
to 72¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.0pp
to 72¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.0pp
to 72¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.5pp
to 72¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.0pp
to 72¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 60¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 22.5pp
to 73¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.5pp
to 29¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.5pp
to 29¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
6- 2¢-2.3pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $2.0M
- 100¢+59.0pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $1.1M
- 59¢-1.0pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $721.0K
- 5¢-34.5pp
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $681.6K
- 86¢0.0pp
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $559.8K
- 43¢+7.0pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Other · Vol $496.7K
Market Description
In the upcoming ABA League game, scheduled for April 25 at 11:00AM ET: If the Krka win, the market will resolve to "Krka". If the BC Vienna win, the market will resolve to "BC Vienna". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.aba-liga.com/
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (77.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).