SportsExpires May 8, 2026
Creator

FC Bayern Munchen vs. Alba Berlin

Probability

100¢

1h

+22.9pp

24h

+26.5pp

24h Vol

$20.4K

Liquidity

$20.7K

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 8, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
based on the final score including any overtime periods
Link
easycredit-bbl.de
Type
Ambiguous wording
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 25, 2026, 08:00May 1, 2026, 18:08
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Up 26pp over 24h

    Now 100¢; +22.9pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Resolution source is ambiguous or relies on public-figure statements — verify before treating price as the market view.

  • 03
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $20.7k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 165.9h

    LOW
  • 18:08Signal

    Resolution risk

    Resolution source is ambiguous or relies on public-figure statements — verify before treating price as the market view.

    LOW

Price movement

+26.5pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.

Biggest hourly move: +45.5pp at 18:08 (to 100¢).

Show top 8 of 51 hourly moves
  • 18:08 · +45.5pp → 100¢
  • 11:00 · +24.5pp → 75¢
  • 00:00 · +25.5pp → 74¢
  • 22:00 · +26.0pp → 74¢
  • 20:00 · +26.5pp → 74¢
  • 19:00 · +27.0pp → 75¢
  • 1d ago · +28.5pp → 76¢
  • 1d ago · +29.0pp → 77¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feedBrowse related marketsAlert me on the next trade
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

6
Category · Sports

Market Description

In the upcoming Germany BBL game, scheduled for May 1 at 12:00PM ET: If the FC Bayern Munchen win, the market will resolve to "FC Bayern Munchen". If the Alba Berlin win, the market will resolve to "Alba Berlin". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket