Mitteldeutscher BC vs. Wuerzburg
Probability
39¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.5pp
24h Vol
$5.50
Liquidity
$1.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 179h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 7.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 178.7h
- 03:50SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 179h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-17.5pp over the last 24h, now 39¢.
Biggest hourly move: -17.0pp at 03:00 (to 39¢).
Show top 8 of 34 hourly moves
- 03:00 · -17.0pp → 39¢
- 02:00 · -16.0pp → 39¢
- 22:00 · -14.5pp → 38¢
- 21:00 · -15.0pp → 38¢
- 20:00 · -15.0pp → 38¢
- 17:00 · -15.5pp → 38¢
- 09:00 · -15.0pp → 36¢
- 08:00 · -15.0pp → 36¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming Germany BBL game, scheduled for April 26 at 10:30AM ET: If the Mitteldeutscher BC win, the market will resolve to "Mitteldeutscher BC". If the Wuerzburg win, the market will resolve to "Wuerzburg". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primarybased on the final score including any overtime periodsTypeAmbiguous wording
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (7.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.