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OtherExpires May 2, 2026

Besiktas vs. Petkim Spor

Probability

82¢

1h

+26.0pp

24h

-3.5pp

24h Vol

$100.61

Liquidity

$366.27

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 08:00Apr 25, 2026, 13:03
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 4pp over 24h

    Now 82¢; +26.0pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 170h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 18.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 169.9h

    LOW
  • 13:03Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 170h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 13:00Price

    Probability up 32.5pp

    to 83¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 30.5pp

    to 82¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability up 19.0pp

    to 70¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 17.0pp

    to 69¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 30.0pp

    to 82¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 31.0pp

    to 82¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 33.5pp

    to 84¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 33.0pp

    to 85¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 35.0pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 33.0pp

    to 85¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability up 15.0pp

    to 67¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 33.0pp

    to 85¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 32.5pp

    to 84¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 17.5pp

    to 70¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 19.5pp

    to 70¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 18.0pp

    to 69¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 35.0pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 35.5pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 34.5pp

    to 85¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 35.5pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 33.5pp

    to 84¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 34.0pp

    to 85¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 30.5pp

    to 82¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 30.5pp

    to 82¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 30.5pp

    to 83¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 29.5pp

    to 82¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 32.0pp

    to 84¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 32.0pp

    to 84¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming Turkey BSL game, scheduled for April 25 at 11:00AM ET: If the Besiktas win, the market will resolve to "Besiktas". If the Petkim Spor win, the market will resolve to "Petkim Spor". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 2, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://www.tbl.org.tr/
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (18.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).