Trabzonspor vs. Galatasaray
Probability
72¢
1h
+21.5pp
24h
+22.0pp
24h Vol
$98.90
Liquidity
$181.16
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 22pp over 24h
Now 72¢; +21.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 191h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 24.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 191.3h
- 13:09SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 191h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.0pp
to 72¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming Turkey BSL game, scheduled for April 26 at 8:30AM ET: If the Trabzonspor win, the market will resolve to "Trabzonspor". If the Galatasaray win, the market will resolve to "Galatasaray". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.tbl.org.tr/
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (24.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).